Skip to main content

By Pete Sweeney

China's foreign investment mix is changing, with portfolio investors buying more stocks but foreign direct investment falling to a two-year low on a slowing economy, rising business costs and anti-monopoly probes and crackdowns on foreign firms.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in China fell in over the first seven months of 2014 compared with a year earlier, while the offshore funds flowing into mainland stocks hit their highest mark in more than two years in July

A plateau in foreign investment could be a challenge for China, as it offers manufacturers an alternative source of capital to the banking system. Any shortfall is unlikely to be made up by portfolio flows, which favour more liquid stocks and are limited by quotas.

"Foreign capital coming here needs to get a lot more discriminatory," says Gary Reischel, founder of venture capital firm Qiming Venture Partners in Shanghai, referring to overall investment.

The stock market rose continuously for six weeks last month, its longest streak since March 2012, after being among the worst performers in the first half of the year.

Investors are drawn to Chinese shares by low valuations for large-cap shares after a four-year slump, a rallying yuan, and the prospect of a pilot project to allow foreigners to buy yuan-denominated stocks on mainland exchanges.

Back to top

FDI falls

Non-financial foreign direct investment was $7.81 billion (4.72 billion pounds) in July, the lowest in two years, and fell an annual 0.4 percent in the first seven months of the year.

Chinese regulators have warned against reading too much into a single monthly FDI figure, and many economists agree.

Still, in the context of July data that included softness in manufacturing, lending, housing prices and fixed-asset investment, the numbers have prompted some debate.

The FDI slowdown was led by a sharp decline in investment from Japan, which plunged 45 percent in the first seven months of 2014; Europe, down 17.5 percent; and the United States, off 17.4 percent.

"There are other geographies in Asia that are definitely more attractive for manufacturing," says Matt Koon, consulting manager at Tractus Asia in Shanghai.

At the same time, there has been an increase in funds flowing into stocks via exchange-traded funds (ETF) in Hong Kong from foreign investors, who cannot yet invest directly in mainland equities.

ETFs under the Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (RQFII) scheme had net inflows of 8.2 billion yuan (785 million pounds) in July, the highest since December 2012 and nearly doubling from June, according to Morningstar data.

Launched in 2011, RQFII enables institutions to use offshore yuan to invest in the mainland's securities markets.

The net inflow in July was the equivalent to 14.5 percent of assets under management. A year earlier, there were outflows equivalent to 9.9 percent of assets under management.

Back to top

Hostile environment

FDI has risen each year since China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, hitting a record $118 billion last year, with manufacturing a main destination.

But Beijing's plans to make the economy more reliant on domestic consumption could not only temper the inflows, but change the composition. Indeed, FDI in manufacturing fell in the first seven months of 2014 while it rose in services.

Many economists argue that China is losing attractiveness due to reasons such as persistently increasing costs for labour, relatively higher prices for energy, and expensive industrial property.

Coincidentally or not, the slowdown in FDI this year follows a campaign pillorying foreign firms for crimes including bribery, discriminatory pricing, monopolistic behaviour, and poor quality control – these have led to massive fines and detentions by police.

"The more aggressive stance of Chinese regulators is doubtlessly galling to foreign executives, but it is unlikely to eliminate their interest," Arthur Kroeber, economist at Dragonomics, wrote in a research note, adding some firms had made so much profit that they can "easily afford to pay the fine and go on its merry way minting money in the Middle Kingdom."

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Back to top

China further loosens foreign ownership of hospitals

By Adam Jourdan and Koh Gui Qing

China will allow foreign investors to wholly own hospitals in seven cities and provinces, further opening up the country's fast-growing private hospital sector.

The cities of Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai and the provinces of Jiangsu, Fujian, Guangdong and Hainan will take part in the pilot test that was launched in July, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement.

The private healthcare sector is a magnet for investors with the number of private hospitals shooting up in the last decade as Beijing looks to take the pressure off its hard-hit state-run system.

"There is so much interest and a lot of money just waiting to have the opportunity to invest. It's not only a huge and growing market, but also the level of care is not that high, meaning there's a huge unmet need," says Simon Li, Shanghai-based managing director at Kantar Health.

China's healthcare spending is set to hit $1 trillion by 2020, according to McKinsey & Co, a major draw for hospital operators such as Singapore-based Raffles Medical Group Ltd, Malaysia's IHH Healthcare Bhd and U.S.-listed Chindex International Inc.

Beijing has been slowly opening the door to overseas money, previously allowing foreign investors to own 70 percent stakes in hospital joint ventures. Hong Kong and Macau, autonomous regions of China, and Taiwan all permit foreign investors to fully own hospitals.

Beijing has also made moves to allow doctors to work more freely in the private sector, part of a drive to enable overseas providers to take on a broader role. Currently, foreign players focus more on specialist areas such as maternity care.

"With more investment allowed by foreign players and greater freedom for doctors, this will enable foreign operators to get more into primary care and the mainstream market," says Li.

Back to top

Privatisation drive

The attraction is clear. There were 11,300 private hospitals in China last year, a massive rise from just 3,200 in 2005, according to a Deutsche Bank report in June. It added that a further 8,000 public hospitals were likely to be privatised over the next five to 10 years.

Approvals for foreign-owned hospitals will be overseen by provincial governments, the Ministry of Commerce said, adding that only investors from Macau, Taiwan and Hong Kong can practise traditional Chinese medicine (TCM).

The Ministry of Commerce announcement did not include any requirements for a minimum size of foreign investment.

Chinese hospitals suffer from a lack of funding and a steep gap between urban and rural care, often leading to high rates of bribery and simmering tension between patients and doctors.

Widespread graft has made it harder for China's poor to get access to healthcare, despite Beijing ordering hospitals to not turn away patients who need emergency treatment.

The move is also part of sweeping plans to reform the world's second-largest economy to give private and foreign investors greater access to enhance efficiency, technological know-how and coverage for basic services such as healthcare.

China had promised earlier this year to relax limits on foreign investment in hospitals on the mainland in a healthcare reform plan for 2014. In May, the government also eased restrictions on foreign investment in joint venture hospitals.

 

Back to top

Related Articles

CHINA TECH COLUMN | 中国AI手机应用席卷海外市场,面临多重监管、“身份”挑战(ZH/EN)

中国数字经济产业快速发展、AI技术加速结合各类生活场景的背景下,来自中国的AI驱动手机应用正在席卷全球市场,然而,其也面临着愈发增多的法律及“身份”挑战。

新能源车企出海面临升级挑战 (ZH/EN)

受到国内政策支持,中国的新能源汽车产业正经历快速发展,并不断增强与全球市场的互动。从曾经的汽车外销,到如今的海外建厂,新能源车企探索着新的出海模式,其所面对的合规压力也日益升级。

2024 ALB China 十五佳女律师 (ZH/EN)

温柔却不失力量,专业且兼具坚韧。今年上榜ALB China十五佳女律师榜单的杰出女性律师们因其在法律服务行业的精彩表现获得了客户与市场的认可。部分上榜者向我们讲述了自己的法律生涯、成长路径、印象深刻的执业经历,以及对年轻女性律师的建议。